Let's properly analyze an AI article for once

Summary

Recently the CEO of Github wrote a blog post called Developers reinvented. It was reposted with various clickbait headings like GitHub CEO Thomas Dohmke Warns Developers: "Either Embrace AI or Get Out of This Career" (that one feels like an LLM generated summary of the actual post, which would be ironic if it wasn't awful). To my great misfortune I read both of these. Even if we ignore whether AI is useful or not, the writings contain some of the absolute worst reasoning and stretched logical leaps I have seen in years, maybe decades. If you are ever in the need of finding out how not to write a "scientific" text on any given subject, this is the disaster area for you.But before we begin, a detour to the east.Statistics and the Soviet UnionOne of the great wonders of statistical science of the previous century was without a doubt the Soviet Union. They managed to invent and perfect dozens of ways to turn data to your liking, no matter the reality. Almost every official statistic issued by USSR was a lie. Most people know this. But even most of those do not grasp just how much the stats differed from reality. I sure didn't until I read this book. Let's look at some examples.Only ever report percentagesThe USSR's glorious statistics tended to be of the type "manufacturing of shoes grew over 600% this five year period". That certainly sounds a lot better than "In the last five years our factory made 700 pairs of shoes as opposed to 100" or even "7 shoes instead of 1". If you are really forward thinking, you can even cut down shoe production on those five year periods when you are not being measured. It makes the stats even more impressive, even though in reality many people have no shoes at all.The USSR classified the real numbers as state secrets because the truth would have made them look bad. If a corporation only gives you percentages, they may be doing the same thing. Apply skepticism as needed.Creative comparisonsThe previous section said the manufacturing of sho...