State of AI Report 2025

Summary

STATE OF AI REPORT 2025. The State of AI Report is the most widely read and trusted analysis of key developments in AI. Published annually since 2018, the open-access report aims to spark informed conversation about the state of AI and what it means for the future. Produced by AI investor Nathan Benaich and Air Street Capital. 25 min video overview: VIDEO Full slide deck: Download 2025 Report Live Survey Results Compute Index 📧 Air Street Press Now in its eighth year, the State of AI Report 2025 is reviewed by leading AI practitioners in industry and research. It considers the following key dimensions, including a new large-scale AI usage survey section: Research: Technology breakthroughs and their capabilities. Industry: Areas of commercial application for AI and its business impact. Politics: Regulation of AI, its economic implications and the evolving geopolitics of AI. Safety: Identifying and mitigating catastrophic risks that highly-capable future AI systems could pose to us. Survey: The largest open-access survey of 1,200 AI practitioners and their AI usage patterns. You can participate here. Predictions: What we believe will happen in the next 12 months and a performance review of last year's predictions to keep us honest. Key takeways from the 2025 Report include:: OpenAI retains a narrow lead at the frontier, but competition has intensified as Meta reliquinshes the mantle to China’s DeepSeek, Qwen, and Kimi close the gap on reasoning and coding tasks, establishing China as a credible #2. Reasoning defined the year, as frontier labs combined reinforcement learning, rubric-based rewards, and verifiable reasoning with novel environments to create models that can plan, reflect, self-correct, and work over increasingly long time horizons. AI is becoming a scientific collaborator, with systems like DeepMind’s Co-Scientist and Stanford’s Virtual Lab autonomously generating, testing, and validating hypotheses. In biology, Profluent’s ProGen3 showed that scaling law...